Monday, 24 November 2008

Hedging and forex market


In the Forex market, hedging is a method practiced by Forex traders in order to minimize their losses. Generally, hedging involves complicated financial instrument known as derivative, and the 2 most common types of derivatives are future and options.

With these instruments used correctly, a loss in one of the investment can be offset by a gain in a derivative. In order to better understand how hedging works, let's take a car maker company in the US as an example. After the car company is US manufactures the car, they intend to sell the car in the European market. Each time when they are selling the car, they need to convert the value of the car from the USD to GBP, however, due to the constant fluctuation of the currency exchange rate, the actual value of the car (after converted to GBP) may varies. In order to protect the profit margin of the company from the fluctuation of the currency exchange, the car manufacturer company hedge and fix the conversion rate from USD to GBP at a specific value, thus eliminating the risk of losses due to fluctuation in the currency exchange. Hedging in Forex market works in a similar way mentioned above, however, there's a variety of way to hedge in the Forex market for an investor as there are numerous options and future contracts available in the Forex market.


Although hedging may sound like a foul proof technique, there are still some reasons why an investor may need to think carefully before considering to hedge in Forex market. Firstly, hedging will be a very useful tool IF an investor suffers a loss in his investment due to the fact where by hedging, the amount of losses can be decreased and minimized to a smaller amount.


However, hedging will only be a nuisance to the profit gain if the investor doesn't suffer any form of losses because the amount of potential profit would be greatly decreased due to hedging. Besides that, unlike buying insurance, hedging is not a 100% safe technique as hedging in Forex trading is not as simple as it seemed. Hedging precisely in an investment is a very complicated task and in most of the time, things may go wrong and not according to the way as planned.


For beginners in Forex trading, Forex hedging is always a very good tool to be utilized in order to avoid from suffering a huge amount of losses in their early stage of investment. Therefore, it is most advisable for all of the investors, regardless of what type of investment they are in, to understand more about hedging because this is considerably one of the most effective way in order to protect themselves in Forex trading.


How can I use Forex Hedging :Say you used dollars to take a long position in euros, but you are a little worried that the price of euros will fall relative to the dollar. One thing you could do is take out a futures contract on dollars using euros. As external factors affect the price of currencies, the price of futures contracts rise and fall as well, allowing your euros-to-dollars contract to counteract your long position in euros. If the euro weakens, the futures contract price rises, and vice-versa, so you have therefore eliminated the risk from your currency investment.


For example : try simply to buy Sell a pair of currency then do the opposite for example buy one lot of any pair and then then sell it again Now you have a hedged trade and . You can see in the "S/B" column the one position that you bought and the one that you sold. If the EUR/USD rises, you have a profit in the buy position and a loss in the sell position. If it falls, the exact opposite applies.Should I hedge?Most investors never hedge in their entire trading careers. Short-term fluctuation is something that the majority of investors do not worry with. Therefore, hedging can be pointless. Even if you choose not to hedge however, learning about the technique is a great way to understand the market a bit more.


You will see large corporations and other large traders use this and may be confused at why they are acting this way.

When you know more about hedging you can fully understand their strategies.Ways of Hedging:It's say you take a long position is EUR/USD at 1.2700. The price drops. With a different broker, you take a short position at 1.2650. Have you hedged your long?I've met traders who say yes. They say that now there short will make what every there long position loses.I hate to burst bubbles, but going long and short is going flat. It's the same as having no position on.


The only difference is you'll pay the spread twice (a bad thing).The traders who say that going long and going short is hedging say that when the price moves up they will take the short position off to capture the upward movement are still deluded.Having a short and long position in the same instrument, and then taking the short one off, is the same as just entering long. That's it. Furthermore, how do you know that the market will continue to move up after you take the short off? If it moves down again will you put the short on again? If you do, you will pay the spread a third time for a single trade. Believe, make this a habit and you find being profitable is tough even if you pick more winners than losers and have great money management.So, let's take this is a different direction.


What if you traded EUR/USD long and went short USD/CHF? Have you hedged against the dollar? No. What you've done is created the currency pair EUR/CHF with two other pairs. You're not hedged; you're long EUR/CHF.So how do you create a true hedge with currencies? You have two tools to use. One way would be with futures. The next subsection deals with the other. The CME has an emini Euro FX contract (symbol is E7).


You could be long in the spot market and short in the futures market and you would be hedged. However, the futures contract and a spot contract are not worth exactly the same; so you would not be totally covered.The last way to hedge is with options.

This is also how you can trade without stops safely. Let's say you go long USD/JPY at 116.00. You also go long a put option out of the money with a strike price at 115.50. Let's say it cost you $20.The price must go up 20 pips (in a mini account) for you break even. You lose the cost of the option if the price doesn't sink below 115.50. If the price does plunge down to 114 say, your put options will be worth a lot.


Subtracting what you made on the options from what you lost on your position, you'd find that you only lost 70 pips (the cost of the option $20 plus the difference between your entry and the strike price $50).You are truly hedged. You only lose the cost of the option if the price skyrockets (and you'll make a bundle on the price moving up so far). On the other hand, the price can sink as low as it wants to, you're loss is fixed.


This gets even better. How often has the price touched your stop taking you out of the market before going your way? With an option as a stop loss, that can't happen. You can ride out a market that wants to stop you out. Your option protects you.Obviously this is just a quick look at this strategy. If you want to do it, study the concepts behind it a lot more before you try it. Options are an animal all of their own.


Know what you are doing, before you do it.Hedging objectives :Earlier, we noted that a hedge is a financial instrument whose sensitivity to a particular financial price offsets the sensitivity of the firm's core business to that price. Straightaway, we can see that there are a number of issues that present themselvesSome of the best-articulated hedging programs in the corporate world will choose the reduction in the variability of corporate income as an appropriate target. This is consistent with the notion that an investor purchases the stock of the company in order to take advantage of their core business expertise.Other companies just believe that engaging in a forward outright transaction to hedge each of their cross-border cash flows in foreign exchange is sufficient to deem themselves hedged.


Yet, they are exposing their companies to untold potential opportunity losses. And this could impact their relative performance pejoratively.It is important to measure and to have on a daily basis some notion of the firm's potential liability from financial price risk. Financial institutions whose core business is the management and acceptance of financial price risk have whole departments devoted to the independent measurement and quantification of their exposures.


It is no less critical for a company with billions of dollars of internationally driven revenue to do so.There are three types of risk for every particular financial price to which the firm is exposed.Transactional risks reflect the pejorative impact of fluctuations in financial prices on the cash flows that come from purchases or sales. This is the kind of risk we described in our example of the pulp-and-paper company concerned about their US$10 million contract. Or, we could describe the funding problem of the company as a transactional risk. How do they borrow money? How do they hedge the value of a loan they have taken once it is on the books?Translation risks describe the changes in the value of a foreign asset due to changes in financial prices, such as the foreign exchange rate.Economic exposure refers to the impact of fluctuations in financial prices on the core business of the firm.


If developing markets economies devalue sharply while retaining their high technology manufacturing infrastructure, what effect will this have on an Ottawa-based chip manufacturer that only has sales in Canada? If it means that these countries will flood the market with cheap chips in a desperate effort to obtain hard currency, it could mean that the domestic manufacturer is in serious jeopardy.When is it best to use which instrument is the question the corporate Treasurer must answer.


The difference between a mediocre corporate Treasury and an excellent one is their ability to operate within the context of their shareholder-delineated limits and choose the optimal hedging structure for a particular exposure and economic environment. Not every structure will work well in every environment. The corporate Treasury should be able to tailor the exposure using derivatives so that it fits the preferences and the view of the senior management and the board of directors
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